Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Francis Tiafoe		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.19	4.5	Watch
	1.21	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4.85
	1.19	4.83	Watch
	1.2	4.5	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.14)	4.61 ↓ (5.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
79.3%

Roberto Carballes Baena
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Francis Tiafoe - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 14. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 87.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Carballes Baena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tiafoe is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Toronto
03.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
25.07.25	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
ATP Umag
21.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
17.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WL?LL

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