Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Iga Swiatek		Elena Rybakina

	1	2
	1.62	2.30	Watch
	1.62	2.30
	1.63	2.28	Watch
	1.67	2.38
	1.62	2.36	Watch
	1.63	2.36
	1.69	2.21	Watch
	1.60	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.54)	2.31 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iga Swiatek
58.5%

Elena Rybakina
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	0%	38.1%

Iga Swiatek - Elena Rybakina Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Swiatek will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Rybakina will win (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Swiatek (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 Games - Rybakina (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rybakina (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Swiatek is ranked WTA: 5. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 2.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 3.

Swiatek has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Rybakina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Swiatek might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Swiatek will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iga Swiatek
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Maria Sakkari	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
13.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Elena Rybakina	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Elina Svitolina - Iga Swiatek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- Elena Rybakina
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Magdalena Frech - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Taylor Townsend - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
13.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Elena Rybakina	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Cori Gauff - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Toronto
13.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Elena Rybakina	2:0
WTA Australian Open
27.01.26	Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek	2:0
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Women
26.12.25	Iga Swiatek - Elena Rybakina	2:0
WTA Finals
03.11.25	Iga Swiatek - Elena Rybakina	1:2
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.25	Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek	1:2
WTA Doha
13.02.25	Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek	0:2

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