Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday


	Ignacio Buse		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.52	Watch
	2.59	1.56
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.51	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.17)	1.54 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
38.2%

Corentin Moutet
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ignacio Buse's form might have worsened.

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corentin Moutet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Ignacio Buse - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: Corentin Moutet will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corentin Moutet will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 61. Moutet is ranked ATP: 31.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Buse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moutet might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Corentin Moutet - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.38%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Ignacio Buse - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
03.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL

Ignacio Buse - Corentin Moutet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide