Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Corentin Moutet		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.39	2.95	Watch
	1.44	3.01
	1.39	2.89	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.41	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	3 ↓ (3.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
68.2%

Marco Trungelliti
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Corentin Moutet - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moutet will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 32. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 117.

In recent matches, Moutet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Trungelliti is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Moutet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Moutet is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Marrakech
01.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Marrakech
01.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWW

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