Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Corentin Moutet		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.36
	3.33	1.37
	3.19	1.35	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.22	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.27)	1.36 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
29.8%

Casper Ruud
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Corentin Moutet - Casper Ruud Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruud (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Casper Ruud will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 31. Ruud is ranked ATP: 12.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Ruud is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moutet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Casper Ruud - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 71.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
03.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW
- Casper Ruud
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Alexei Popyrin - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Casper Ruud - Karen Khachanov	3:1 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Casper Ruud - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
04.09.22	Corentin Moutet - Casper Ruud	1:3

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