Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Ignacio Buse		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.49	2.67
	1.38	2.87	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.59	Watch
	1.77	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.81)	2.53 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
62.9%

Vilius Gaubas
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignacio Buse's performance.

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilius Gaubas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ignacio Buse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 110. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 133.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Buse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Buse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Buse - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.6%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Ignacio Buse - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Ignacio Buse - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Vilius Gaubas - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Ivan Gakhov - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Vilius Gaubas - Vit Kopriva	Canceled ✺
05.10.25	Vilius Gaubas - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	0:2
05.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	1:2

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