Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Ignacio Buse		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.68	2.23
	1.58	2.27	Watch
			Watch
	1.59	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.74)	2.28 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
58.9%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignacio Buse's performance.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pablo Llamas Ruiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ignacio Buse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Llamas Ruiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ignacio Buse - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buse: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Llamas Ruiz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 108. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 202.

Buse is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Llamas Ruiz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Llamas Ruiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Buse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Buse - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.66%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Marco Cecchinato	Canceled ✺
27.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Francisco Rocha - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 ?LWWW
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
23.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Hugo Maia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 L?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0

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