Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Vilius Gaubas		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.37	2.75	Watch
	1.53	2.54
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.46	2.53	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)	2.58 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
63.9%

Gonzalo Bueno
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gonzalo Bueno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Vilius Gaubas - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bueno will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 130. Bueno is ranked ATP: 217.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gaubas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.27%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Ivan Gakhov - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Vilius Gaubas - Vit Kopriva	Canceled ✺
05.10.25	Vilius Gaubas - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Vilius Gaubas - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 L?LWW
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Bueno G. retired ✺
24.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?LWLW

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