Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan (South Korea), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Katebi A. (Irn)


	James Duckworth		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.34	3
	1.32	3.2	Watch
	1.35	3.35
	1.36	3.35
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.34	Watch
	1.31	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)	3.29 ↑ (2.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
71.3%

Illya Marchenko
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James Duckworth's performance.

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Illya Marchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

James Duckworth - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: James Duckworth will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Duckworth is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Duckworth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	James Duckworth - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	James Duckworth - Hoyoung Roh	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
04.04.24	James Duckworth - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
02.04.24	Gijs Brouwer - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.24	Alexis Galarneau - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWL
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Ergi Kirkin - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
04.03.24	Illya Marchenko - Cem Ilkel	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Illya Marchenko - Yannik Steinegger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
07.08.21	Illya Marchenko - James Duckworth	0:2

James Duckworth - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide