Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 3 (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Yan B. (Chn)


	Illya Marchenko		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.25	1.67
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.84)	1.64 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
42.7%

Mattia Bellucci
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illya Marchenko's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Illya Marchenko - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Bellucci could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
16.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
11.04.24	James Duckworth - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Ergi Kirkin - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWL
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Mattia Bellucci - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Soon Woo Kwon - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Mattia Bellucci - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
14.03.24	Mattia Bellucci - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Mattia Bellucci - Hady Habib	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW

Illya Marchenko - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide