Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg (Canada), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 July 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Lewkowicz P. (Can)


	Illya Marchenko		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.35	1.61
	2.29	1.58	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.37	1.55	Watch
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.02)	1.59 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
41.2%

Sho Shimabukuro
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Illya Marchenko - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Marchenko will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shimabukuro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.06.24	Illya Marchenko - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Illya Marchenko - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
17.05.24	Illya Marchenko - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:1 ✺
16.05.24	Max Purcell - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLWW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Wimbledon
27.06.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Elias Ymer	0:3 ✺
26.06.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Jozef Kovalik - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Sho Shimabukuro	Canceled ✺
11.06.24	Cameron Norrie - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWW?L

Illya Marchenko - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide