The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Illya Marchenko 23%
Sumit Nagal 77%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
70.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
71.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illya Marchenko's form might have worsened.
Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumit Nagal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
0%
58.3%
Illya Marchenko - Sumit Nagal Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Marchenko will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Nagal will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nagal: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.
Marchenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Watch
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