Match Info

Date: 5 September 2022, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Ilya Ivashka		Jannik Sinner

	1	2
	3.75	1.28	Watch
	4.1	1.22
	4.25	1.24
	3.95	1.25
	4.3	1.26
	4	1.25
	4.65	1.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (2.95)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
23.1%

Jannik Sinner
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilya Ivashka's form might have worsened.

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jannik Sinner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilya Ivashka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jannik Sinner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.9%	0%	84.1%

Ilya Ivashka - Jannik Sinner Predictions

Users Predictions: Jannik Sinner will win (74 of 88 users predict this - 84.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.45% – 91.73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Sinner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sinner is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP US Open
03.09.22	Ilya Ivashka - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
01.09.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Ilya Ivashka	1:3 ✺
30.08.22	Sam Querrey - Ilya Ivashka	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.22	Ilya Ivashka - Marc-Andrea Huesler	1:2 ✺
23.08.22	Ilya Ivashka - Peter Gojowczyk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLW
- Jannik Sinner
ATP US Open
03.09.22	Brandon Nakashima - Jannik Sinner	1:3 ✺
01.09.22	Christopher Eubanks - Jannik Sinner	0:3 ✺
30.08.22	Daniel Altmaier - Jannik Sinner	2:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jannik Sinner	2:1 ✺
17.08.22	Miomir Kecmanovic - Jannik Sinner	Kecmanovic M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWL?

Ilya Ivashka - Jannik Sinner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide