Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Ilya Ivashka		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	1.5	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.47	2.75
	1.48	2.65
	1.49	2.83
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.45	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.57)	2.71 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
64.7%

Lorenzo Musetti
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilya Ivashka's performance.

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Musetti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.4%	0%	24.6%

Ilya Ivashka - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Ivashka will win (votes: 49 - 75.4%). Musetti will win (votes: 16 - 24.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ivashka: 64.9% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ivashka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ivashka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP US Open
01.09.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Ilya Ivashka	1:3 ✺
30.08.22	Sam Querrey - Ilya Ivashka	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.22	Ilya Ivashka - Marc-Andrea Huesler	1:2 ✺
23.08.22	Ilya Ivashka - Peter Gojowczyk	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.22	Ilya Ivashka - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP US Open
01.09.22	Gijs Brouwer - Lorenzo Musetti	1:3 ✺
30.08.22	David Goffin - Lorenzo Musetti	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.22	Richard Gasquet - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.22	Borna Coric - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
14.08.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
02.05.22	Ilya Ivashka - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2

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