Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Portugal	Sport TV6
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Yannick Hanfmann		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.92
	2	1.77	Watch
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	1.96	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.48)	1.81 ↓ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannick Hanfmann
47.5%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannick Hanfmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yannick Hanfmann's form might have worsened.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Manuel Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yannick Hanfmann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Hanfmann will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 24 - 85.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 72.7% – 98.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juan Manuel Cerundolo will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 90. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 78.

Hanfmann is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cerundolo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hanfmann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hanfmann is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hanfmann won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 W?WLW
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Daniel Altmaier - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1

Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Manuel Cerundolo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide