Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Ilya Ivashka		Yi Zhou

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.76	2.18
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.64	2.26
	1.73	1.97	Watch
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.6)	2.05 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
54.2%

Yi Zhou
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ilya Ivashka - Yi Zhou Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ivashka will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Zhou will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ivashka is ranked ATP: 393. Zhou is ranked ATP: 248.

Ivashka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zhou has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zhou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ivashka might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ivashka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Yi Zhou - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.3%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Ilya Ivashka - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Akira Santillan - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Ilya Ivashka - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW
- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Jie Cui - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Sergey Fomin - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Ilya Ivashka - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Yi Zhou	Canceled ✺
29.07.26	Daniel Milavsky - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Ilya Ivashka - Yi Zhou	2:1

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