What is the expert prediction for Ioannis Xilas vs Matthew Donald?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Ioannis Xilas vs Matthew Donald. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Ioannis Xilas vs Matthew Donald Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, July 11, 2026)

Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H Kassel, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Ioannis Xilas		Matthew Donald

	1	2
			Watch
	2.10	1.62
	2.28	1.56	Watch
	2.52	1.53
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	2.12	1.70
	2.10	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.83)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ioannis Xilas
41.9%

Matthew Donald
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ioannis Xilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ioannis Xilas's form might have worsened.

Matthew Donald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matthew Donald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ioannis Xilas than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ioannis Xilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matthew Donald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Xilas is ranked ATP: 362. Donald is ranked ATP: 499.

Xilas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Donald is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Xilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Donald will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Xilas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

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Last Results with these Odds

Ioannis Xilas - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ioannis Xilas
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Ioannis Xilas - Lasse Poertner	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Ioannis Xilas - Isac Stroemberg	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Kilian Feldbausch - Ioannis Xilas	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Liam Broady - Ioannis Xilas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Arian Barbic - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Francisco Comesana - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
28.06.26	Matthew Donald - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Matthew Donald - Ioannis Xilas	2:1

Ioannis Xilas - Matthew Donald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide