Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H Kassel, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Nikolai Barsukov		Matthew Donald

	1	2
			Watch
	3.00	1.33
	2.95	1.34
	3.31	1.34
	3.09	1.31	Watch
	3.25	1.32
	3.15	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.6)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikolai Barsukov
29.8%

Matthew Donald
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikolai Barsukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nikolai Barsukov's form might have worsened.

Matthew Donald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matthew Donald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikolai Barsukov than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nikolai Barsukov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matthew Donald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nikolai Barsukov - Matthew Donald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barsukov is ranked ATP: 735. Donald is ranked ATP: 499.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barsukov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Donald is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikolai Barsukov
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Matteo Fondriest - Nikolai Barsukov	1:2 ✺
23.06.26	Michel Hopp - Nikolai Barsukov	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Pieter De Lange - Nikolai Barsukov	2:1 ✺
18.06.26	Manvydas Balciunas - Nikolai Barsukov	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Lasse Poertner - Nikolai Barsukov	Poertner L. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLW?
- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Arian Barbic - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Francisco Comesana - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
28.06.26	Matthew Donald - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.26	Matthew Donald - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWL

Nikolai Barsukov - Matthew Donald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide