Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Abidjan 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Michael Geerts		Ioannis Xilas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.58	2.23
	1.69	2.26
	1.59	2.21	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.63)	2.22 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
57.9%

Ioannis Xilas
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ioannis Xilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Geerts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ioannis Xilas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ioannis Xilas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Michael Geerts - Ioannis Xilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Geerts will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Geerts (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 292. Xilas is ranked ATP: 356.

Geerts is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Xilas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Xilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Geerts won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.53%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	Michael Geerts - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	Geerts M. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.04.26	Michael Geerts - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Michael Geerts - Thijs Boogaard	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Michael Geerts - Duje Markovina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ?WLWW
- Ioannis Xilas
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Matthew Donald - Ioannis Xilas	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Henry Searle - Ioannis Xilas	Xilas I. Retired ✺
02.04.26	Louis Dussin - Ioannis Xilas	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Luca Staeheli - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Ioannis Xilas - Michael Geerts	0:2

Michael Geerts - Ioannis Xilas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide