Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cervia 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Ivan Ivanov		Franco Roncadelli

	1	2
	2.2	1.6
	2.31	1.68
	2.12	1.64	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.18	1.61
	2.22	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.22)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivan Ivanov
42.2%

Franco Roncadelli
57.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivan Ivanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Ivanov than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ivan Ivanov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Franco Roncadelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Ivan Ivanov - Franco Roncadelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ivanov will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Roncadelli will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roncadelli: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ivanov (votes: 1 - 50%). Roncadelli (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ivanov is ranked ATP: 597. Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 274.

Recent performances by Ivanov have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Roncadelli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ivanov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Roncadelli will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Roncadelli will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Ivan Ivanov - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.88%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivan Ivanov
ITF Tournaments
15.05.26	Sergi Perez Contri - Ivan Ivanov	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Ivan Ivanov - Jamie Mackenzie	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Jaume Casas Blasi - Ivan Ivanov	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Ivan Ivanov	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Ivan Ivanov - David Jorda Sanchis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLL
- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
16.05.26	Franco Roncadelli - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
15.05.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Kicker	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Franco Roncadelli - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Franco Roncadelli - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW

Ivan Ivanov - Franco Roncadelli