Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Ivan Ivanov		Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.13	1.78
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.24)	1.71 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivan Ivanov
45.2%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivan Ivanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Ivanov than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Ivan Ivanov - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ivanov is ranked ATP: 780. Sanchez Izquierdo is ranked ATP: 261.

Ivanov is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sanchez Izquierdo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ivanov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivan Ivanov
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Ivan Ivanov - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Ivan Ivanov - Deney Wassermann	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Ivan Ivanov	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Pavel Lagutin - Ivan Ivanov	1:2 ✺
27.03.26	Oscar Jose Gutierrez - Ivan Ivanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
ATP Challenger
01.04.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Ugo Blanchet	Canceled ✺
17.03.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Facundo Mena - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 L?LLW

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