Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.55	1.42
	2.97	1.43
	2.72	1.4	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.77	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.63)	1.42 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
34.5%

Roberto Carballes Baena
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sanchez Izquierdo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sanchez Izquierdo is ranked ATP: 271. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 168.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Carballes Baena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carballes Baena will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.09%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Facundo Mena - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Cannon Kingsley	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Eero Vasa	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLW?

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide