Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday


	Ivan Marrero Curbelo		Lucas Andrade Da Silva

	1	2
	2.80	1.36
	2.65	1.42
	2.89	1.48
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.85	1.39
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.80	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.42)	1.41 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo
33.9%

Lucas Andrade Da Silva
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivan Marrero Curbelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Lucas Andrade Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Andrade Da Silva than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

#ad

Preview

Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 354. Andrade Da Silva is ranked ATP: 820.

Marrero Curbelo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Andrade Da Silva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Andrade Da Silva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Andrade Da Silva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Andrade Da Silva will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivan Marrero Curbelo
ATP Challenger
16.08.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Lev Seidman	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Mathys Erhard - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Filip Peliwo - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWL
- Lucas Andrade Da Silva
ATP Challenger
16.08.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.07.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Lucas Andrade Da Silva	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Juan Estevez - Lucas Andrade Da Silva	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Benjamin Torrealba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Andrade Da Silva
ITF Tournaments
10.10.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Matteo Covato	✺

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Lucas Andrade Da Silva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide