Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TOKYO (JAPAN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Jack Draper		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.22	4
	1.2	4.2
	1.22	4.25
	1.22	4.45
	1.22	4
	1.2	4.2	Watch
	1.21	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	4.17 ↑ (3.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
77.5%

Jurij Rodionov
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jack Draper's performance.

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jurij Rodionov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jack Draper that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jurij Rodionov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Jack Draper - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Rodionov will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

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Preview

Recent matches Draper is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rodionov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Draper could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Draper is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Draper won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP Tokyo
13.10.23	Jack Draper - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.10.23	Jack Draper - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
05.10.23	Jack Draper - Dino Prizmic	2:1 ✺
04.10.23	Jack Draper - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Tomas Machac - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Tokyo
13.10.23	Hiroki Moriya - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
ATP Astana
01.10.23	Adrian Mannarino - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Jurij Rodionov - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Gregoire Barrere - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
27.09.23	Jose-Rubin Statham - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.08.19	Jurij Rodionov - Jack Draper	0:2

Jack Draper - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide