Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Jack Draper		Tallon Griekspoor

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.61	2.34
	1.62	2.46
	1.67	2.18	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.61	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.44)	2.37 ↓ (2.81)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
59.8%

Tallon Griekspoor
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jack Draper's form might have worsened.

Tallon Griekspoor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tallon Griekspoor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jack Draper, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tallon Griekspoor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	0%	68.4%

Jack Draper - Tallon Griekspoor Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Griekspoor will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Griekspoor: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tallon Griekspoor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draper is ranked ATP: 6. Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 34.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Draper could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Draper will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Draper won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Jack Draper - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Jack Draper - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLWW
- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Jack Draper - Tallon Griekspoor	Draper J. retired

Jack Draper - Tallon Griekspoor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide