Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday


	Tallon Griekspoor		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.56	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.58	1.51	Watch
	2.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.13)	1.5 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallon Griekspoor
36.6%

Arthur Fils
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tallon Griekspoor's form might have worsened.

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Fils's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallon Griekspoor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Tallon Griekspoor - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Griekspoor will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Fils will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Griekspoor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Fils (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 37. Fils is ranked ATP: 15.

Griekspoor is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fils is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fils will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Griekspoor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Fils - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.1%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Marrakech
06.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWW?
- Arthur Fils
ATP Miami
27.03.25	Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
24.03.25	Arthur Fils - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Arthur Fils - Gabriel Diallo	Diallo G. retired ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.25	Arthur Fils - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
18.01.24	Arthur Fils - Tallon Griekspoor	1:3
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Arthur Fils	2:3

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