Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Jack Pinnington Jones		Thomas Faurel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.46	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.59	2.30
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.36)	2.56 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Pinnington Jones
63.6%

Thomas Faurel
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Pinnington Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Thomas Faurel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jack Pinnington Jones - Thomas Faurel Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Faurel will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 192., and Faurel is ranked ATP: 340..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Pinnington Jones could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Pinnington Jones for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
04.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Jack Pinnington Jones	Pinnington Jones J. Retired ✺
03.09.26	Michele Ribecai - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Moez Echargui - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Trevor Svajda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ?WWLW
- Thomas Faurel
ATP Challenger
23.09.26	Thomas Faurel - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Hugo Grenier - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.09.26	Thomas Faurel - Andreja Petrovic	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Thomas Faurel - Yannis Batsabaken	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Thomas Faurel - Adan Freire Da Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW

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