Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Adelaide - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Jacob Fearnley		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.17	Watch
	1.61	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.61	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)	2.2 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
57.7%

Aleksandar Vukic
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacob Fearnley's performance.

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Vukic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Jacob Fearnley - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Vukic will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fearnley: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 1 - 50%). Vukic (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 74. Vukic is ranked ATP: 87.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Vukic - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Adelaide
10.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
ATP Athens
03.11.25	Damir Dzumhur - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Adelaide
10.01.26	Luca Nardi - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Metz
05.11.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Corentin Moutet - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWL

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