Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Olbia 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jacob Fearnley		George Loffhagen

	1	2
	1.67	2.10	Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.83	1.94
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.72	2.14
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.68	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.51)	2.04 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
54.2%

George Loffhagen
45.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacob Fearnley's form might have worsened.

George Loffhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting George Loffhagen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jacob Fearnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for George Loffhagen than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for George Loffhagen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jacob Fearnley - George Loffhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Loffhagen will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 96., and Loffhagen is ranked ATP: 374..

Fearnley has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Loffhagen is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Fearnley could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Fearnley has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.01%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Jacob Fearnley - Daniil Glinka	Canceled ✺
01.10.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. Retired ✺
30.09.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jacob Fearnley	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Martin Landaluce - Jacob Fearnley	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ??WLW
- George Loffhagen
ATP Challenger
12.10.26	Laurent Lokoli - George Loffhagen	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Filip Pieczonka - George Loffhagen	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Charles Broom - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	George Loffhagen - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.10.23	Jacob Fearnley - George Loffhagen	Canceled

Jacob Fearnley - George Loffhagen