Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Jacob Fearnley		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.23	1.66
	2.62	1.46	Watch
			Watch
	2.28	1.66	Watch
	2.16	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.62)	1.62 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
41.3%

Andrey Rublev
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacob Fearnley's performance.

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Rublev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jacob Fearnley - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Rublev will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Fearnley (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Andrey Rublev will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Rublev (votes: 9 - 69.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 81. Rublev is ranked ATP: 15.

Fearnley is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rublev has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rublev will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Rublev - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 64.22%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Paris
26.10.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Cameron Norrie - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Andrey Rublev - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	Andrey Rublev - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Andrey Rublev - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Jacob Fearnley - Andrey Rublev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide