Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Corentin Moutet		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.22	3.7	Watch
	1.35	3.06	Watch
			Watch
	1.26	4.01	Watch
	1.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.36)	3.7 ↑ (3.13)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
74.5%

Aleksandar Vukic
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Corentin Moutet - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Vukic (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Corentin Moutet will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corentin Moutet will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Moutet (votes: 3 - 60%). Vukic (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 32. Vukic is ranked ATP: 103.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vukic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Moutet is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moutet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Damir Dzumhur - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLWW
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Aleksandar Vukic	Vukic A. walkover ✺
25.10.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Damir Dzumhur - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Corentin Moutet	2:1

Corentin Moutet - Aleksandar Vukic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide