Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday


	Jacob Fearnley		Filippo Romano

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.39	2.8	Watch
	1.44	2.94
	1.38	2.79	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)	2.73 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
65.8%

Filippo Romano
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Filippo Romano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filippo Romano than the current prediction. (+1%)

Jacob Fearnley - Filippo Romano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 145. Romano is ranked ATP: 355.

Now, both players are in good form.

Fearnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fearnley is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fearnley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.28%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Keegan Smith - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Luca Nardi - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Jacob Fearnley - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWLL
- Filippo Romano
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Oliver Tarvet - Filippo Romano	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Filippo Romano - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Felix Gill - Filippo Romano	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Filippo Romano - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Michael Mmoh - Filippo Romano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWW

Jacob Fearnley - Filippo Romano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide