Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday


	Luca Nardi		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.35
	2.99	1.44
	2.84	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.84	1.37	Watch
	1.03	1.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (1.03)	1.34 ↑ (1.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
33.4%

Jacob Fearnley
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Nardi's form might have worsened.

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jacob Fearnley's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Luca Nardi - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Fearnley will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fearnley: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 163. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 125.

Nardi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fearnley has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fearnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fearnley might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Luca Nardi - Remy Bertola	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Luca Nardi - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
29.05.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	Hugo Grenier - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
02.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Jacob Fearnley - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Titouan Droguet - Jacob Fearnley	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Jacob Fearnley - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW

Luca Nardi - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide