Match Info

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Jacob Fearnley		Jan Kumstat

	1	2
	1.50	2.50
	1.50	2.40
	1.55	2.3
	1.54	2.27	Watch
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.54	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)	2.34 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
60.5%

Jan Kumstat
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Jan Kumstat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Kumstat than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Jacob Fearnley - Jan Kumstat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 96., and Kumstat is ranked ATP: 191..

Fearnley has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kumstat shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Fearnley may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fearnley holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.31%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Jacob Fearnley - George Loffhagen	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Jacob Fearnley - Daniil Glinka	Canceled ✺
01.10.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. Retired ✺
30.09.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jacob Fearnley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 W??WL
- Jan Kumstat
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Jan Kumstat - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Jan Kumstat	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Maxim Mrva - Jan Kumstat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW

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