Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Alejo Sanchez Quilez		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.30	1.28	Watch
	4.05	1.18	Watch
	3.38	1.28	Watch
	14.5	1.01
	3.49	1.26	Watch
	4.05	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (3.98)	1.2 (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejo Sanchez Quilez
18.6%

Jacob Fearnley
81.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

76.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejo Sanchez Quilez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sanchez Quilez is ranked ATP: 370., and Fearnley is ranked ATP: 94..

Recent results have been tough for Sanchez Quilez (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Fearnley have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sanchez Quilez may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Fearnley is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejo Sanchez Quilez - the odds 3.98 are the expected chance of winning is 23.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejo Sanchez Quilez
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Fausto Tabacco - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Alexander Donski - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jacob Fearnley	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Martin Landaluce - Jacob Fearnley	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW

Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide