Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finalsDate: 2 September 2026, WednesdayLocation: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
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Tomas Martin Etcheverry |
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Jacob Fearnley |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.73 |
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2.1 |
 Watch |
 |
1.72 |
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2.10 |
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 |
1.71 |
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2.09 |
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 |
1.69 |
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2.36 |
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1.69 |
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2.17 |
Watch |
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1.67 |
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2.25 |
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1.74 |
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2.14 |
Watch |
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1.73 |
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2.12 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(2.43) |
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2.17 ↑
(1.62) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 38.50
- The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
55.9% | Jacob Fearnley
44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomas Martin Etcheverry's performance.Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacob Fearnley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tomas Martin Etcheverry that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacob Fearnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jacob Fearnley Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Fearnley will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Etcheverry: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- H/A, 1st Set - Fearnley (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 1 - 20%). Fearnley (votes: 4 - 80%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0 
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Preview
Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 32. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 101.Recent form of Etcheverry has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Fearnley has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Etcheverry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match. Recently, there has been no match between the players.
Last Results with these Odds
Tomas Martin Etcheverry - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 40.05%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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