What is the expert prediction for Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, August 28, 2026)

Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Jacob Fearnley		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.36	3.00
	1.41	2.80
	1.43	3.01
	1.4	2.98	Watch
	1.39	2.95
	1.77	1.98	Watch
	1.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.28)	2.88 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
66.8%

Jurij Rodionov
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacob Fearnley's form might have worsened.

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jurij Rodionov's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Rodionov will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 100. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 143.

Fearnley is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rodionov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rodionov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fearnley is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.08.26	Taro Daniel - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Jurij Rodionov - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Niels McDonald - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW

Jacob Fearnley - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide