Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday


	Jaime Faria		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.48	1.52	Watch
	2.44	1.61
	2.52	1.51	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (1.91)	1.55 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
38.6%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaime Faria's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaime Faria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Jaime Faria - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Faria (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tirante (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Games - Tirante (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Thiago Augustin Tirante will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Faria (votes: 1 - 25%). Tirante (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 115. Tirante is ranked ATP: 118.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tirante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Faria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Bastad
15.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Jaime Faria - Lorenzo Sonego	0:3 ✺
26.06.25	Jaime Faria - Kyrian Jacquet	3:1 ✺
25.06.25	Jaime Faria - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Jaime Faria - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
19.07.25	Dino Prizmic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Harold Mayot - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Federico Cina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Nerman Fatic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Matej Dodig - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bastad
16.07.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Jaime Faria	2:1

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