Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Emilio Nava		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.76	1.48
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.53)	1.46 (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
35.9%

Hubert Hurkacz
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Emilio Nava - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nava is ranked ATP: 116. Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 63.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Hurkacz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hurkacz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Hubert Hurkacz - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 63.41%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Emilio Nava - Damir Dzumhur	Dzumhur D. Retired ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Arthur Fils - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Emilio Nava - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Jenson Brooksby - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
13.04.26	Emilio Nava - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 ?LWWL
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Zachary Svajda - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Jaime Faria - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
13.04.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	1:2
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL

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