Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Jaime Faria		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.20	1.34
	3.45	1.3	Watch
	3.65	1.35
	3.31	1.35	Watch
	3.45	1.33
	3.53	1.31	Watch
	3.45	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.71)	1.32 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
27.8%

Lorenzo Musetti
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaime Faria's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Musetti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Jaime Faria - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Musetti will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - under (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 79. Musetti is ranked ATP: 15.

Faria has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Musetti has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Faria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Musetti is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Musetti - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 64.99%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.26	Jaime Faria - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Ben Shelton - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Jaime Faria - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Jaime Faria - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Jaime Faria - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WWWWW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.26	Michael Zheng - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Daniel Altmaier - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Nicolas Mejia - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
31.07.26	Rafael Jodar - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Jaime Faria - Lorenzo Musetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide