Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Liam Draxl		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.26	3.5	Watch
	1.23	3.7
	1.28	3.8
	1.28	3.44	Watch
	1.25	3.75	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.25)	3.66 ↓ (3.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
74.4%

Rio Noguchi
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Liam Draxl - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Draxl will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Noguchi will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Noguchi: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 114. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 210.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Draxl may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Draxl won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Valentin Royer - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Andres Martin - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Liam Draxl - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.25	August Holmgren - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Liam Draxl - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Rio Noguchi - James Watt	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Rio Noguchi - Ray Ho	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Alexis Galarneau - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Shintaro Mochizuki	Mochizuki S. retired ✺
17.07.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Liam Draxl	0:2

Liam Draxl - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide