Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - Final

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Jaime Faria		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.99	1.73	Watch
	2.18	1.77
	2.06	1.73	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.99	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.04)	1.74 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
46.2%

Roman Safiullin
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	0%	68.2%

Jaime Faria - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Safiullin will win (votes: 15 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roman Safiullin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 136. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 176.

Faria is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Safiullin is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Safiullin will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Faria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Safiullin - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.25%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
02.05.26	Jaime Faria - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Miguel Damas - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Martin Krumich - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Jaime Faria - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWL
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
02.05.26	Lukas Neumayer - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Cezar Cretu	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Valentin Royer - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Jaime Faria - Roman Safiullin	1:2

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