Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - Final

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV7


	Valentin Royer		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.84	2.1
	1.72	2.07	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.69	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.56)	2.03 ↓ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
53.9%

Roman Safiullin
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Royer's form might have worsened.

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Safiullin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Valentin Royer - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: Valentin Royer will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 76. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 226.

Royer is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Safiullin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Royer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Royer will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Royer will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Royer - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.79%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Roman Safiullin - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.21%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
18.04.26	Valentin Royer - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Valentin Royer - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Valentin Royer - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Valentin Royer - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Dino Prizmic - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
18.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Jaime Faria - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Felix Gill - Roman Safiullin	Gill F. Retired ✺
13.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWW?W

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