Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DOHA (QATAR), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 23 February 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 2
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Jakub Mensik		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.68
	2.26	1.72
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.9)	1.68 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
43.1%

Gael Monfils
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jakub Mensik's form might have worsened.

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gael Monfils's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gael Monfils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.4%	0%	35.6%

Jakub Mensik - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 29 - 64.4%). Monfils will win (votes: 16 - 35.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 50.4% – 78.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mensik is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monfils is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monfils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mensik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Doha
22.02.24	Andrey Rublev - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Andy Murray - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
20.02.24	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.24	Jakub Mensik - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
15.02.24	Marco Trungelliti - Jakub Mensik	Trungelliti M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWWL?
- Gael Monfils
ATP Doha
22.02.24	Ugo Humbert - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Gael Monfils - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
20.02.24	Gael Monfils - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
15.02.24	Jannik Sinner - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Denis Shapovalov - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW

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