Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Jakub Mensik		Gregoire Barrere

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.75
	2.12	1.77
	2.1	1.83
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.09	1.74	Watch
	2.05	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.15)	1.76 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
45.7%

Gregoire Barrere
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Gregoire Barrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jakub Mensik - Gregoire Barrere Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Barrere will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Mensik is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barrere is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mensik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP US Open
26.08.23	Zdenek Kolar - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
25.08.23	Jakub Mensik - Leandro Riedi	2:1 ✺
23.08.23	Jakub Mensik - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.08.23	Jakub Mensik - Vit Kopriva	Mensik J. retired ✺
28.07.23	Jakub Mensik - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWW?L
- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.23	Gregoire Barrere - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
07.08.23	Gregoire Barrere - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
02.08.23	Gregoire Barrere - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
31.07.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Gregoire Barrere	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Denis Shapovalov - Gregoire Barrere	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL

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