Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DOHA (QATAR), HARD - FINAL

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Jakub Mensik		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.38
	3.25	1.4
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.03	1.39	Watch
	3.05	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.47)	1.38 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
30.6%

Karen Khachanov
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jakub Mensik's form might have worsened.

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karen Khachanov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karen Khachanov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Jakub Mensik - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 18 - 56.3%). Khachanov will win (votes: 14 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 39.1% – 73.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mensik is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Khachanov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mensik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Khachanov is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Doha
23.02.24	Jakub Mensik - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
22.02.24	Andrey Rublev - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Andy Murray - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
20.02.24	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.24	Jakub Mensik - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWWWL
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Doha
23.02.24	Alexei Popyrin - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
22.02.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Karen Khachanov	Ruusuvuori E. retired ✺
21.02.24	Fabian Marozsan - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
10.02.24	Karen Khachanov - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
09.02.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 W?WLW

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