Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux (France), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bordeaux (France) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Lagarde T. (Fra)


	Juncheng Shang		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.31	1.66
	2.32	1.66
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.23	1.62	Watch
	2.27	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.47)	1.59 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
41%

Roberto Carballes Baena
59%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Juncheng Shang - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shang will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carballes Baena will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Juncheng Shang - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Juncheng Shang - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
07.05.24	Zizou Bergs - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
06.05.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	O'Connell C. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Alexander Bublik - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Dominik Koepfer - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?LWL

Juncheng Shang - Roberto Carballes Baena

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Juncheng Shang - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Preview

Form

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