Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roanne 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jakub Paul		Niels McDonald

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Jakub Paul
50.2%

Niels McDonald
49.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Niels McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). McDonald will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Paul is ranked ATP: 1090., and McDonald is ranked ATP: 491..

McDonald has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Paul could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Jakub Paul - Rudolf Molleker	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Michele Mecarelli - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Jakub Paul	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Jakub Paul - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Jakub Paul - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWL
- Niels McDonald
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Niels Visker - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Zaccharie Cado - Niels McDonald	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Niels McDonald - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Marvin Moeller - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

Jakub Paul - Niels McDonald