Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	James Duckworth		Juan Alejandro Hernandez

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.1	Watch
	1.29	3.25
	1.31	3.32
	1.4	2.75
	1.29	3.39	Watch
	1.29	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)	3.19 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
70.7%

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James Duckworth's performance.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Alejandro Hernandez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

James Duckworth - Juan Alejandro Hernandez Predictions

Users Predictions: James Duckworth will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 95. Hernandez is ranked ATP: 595.

Two players are playing changeable.

In this match Duckworth is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
26.03.25	James Duckworth - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	James Duckworth - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.25	James Duckworth - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	James Duckworth - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL
- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ATP Challenger
26.03.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	Nicolas Mejia - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.03.25	Garrett Johns - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWLWL

James Duckworth - Juan Alejandro Hernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide