Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Malta, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Malta 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	James MacKinlay		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

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James MacKinlay
6%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
94%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

10.4%

89.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James MacKinlay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

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Bailly is ranked ATP: 411..

Performances by Bailly have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

MacKinlay could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Bailly enters as the overwhelming favorite.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James MacKinlay
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	James MacKinlay - Patrick Brady	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	James MacKinlay - Patrick Brady	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	Maxwell McKennon - James MacKinlay	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.10.24	Louis Dussin - James MacKinlay	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.07.24	Jesse Flores - James MacKinlay	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Brussels
17.10.26	Clement Chidekh - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Maximilian Marterer - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Calvin Hemery	Bailly G. A. Retired ✺
03.09.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 L??LW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James MacKinlay
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Alberto Bronzetti - James MacKinlay	✺

James MacKinlay - Gilles Arnaud Bailly